Long-Term Variability and Trends in Snow Depth and Cover Days Throughout Iranian Mountain Ranges

Abstract

Abstract

In Iran, the mountain snow cover generally feeds major rivers and thereby largely provides water resources required for improving human lives and protecting nature. Hence, understanding historical variability and trends in mountainous snowpack water resources in Iran in response to global warming and climate change can play a critical role in the sustainable development of this country. Accordingly, this study investigated long-term (1982–2018) snowpack climatology at 13 hydrometeorological measurement stations scattered throughout the Iranian mountain ranges, with a focus on Elburz, Azerbaijan, Zagros, and Khorasan mountainous regions. The non-parametric Mann-Kendall test was used to detect statistically significant (p < 0.05) trends, the Pettitt test to identify possible abrupt shift years, the Pearson's correlation coefficient to measure relationships among different time series, and the partial correlation to determine the most important climate factor influencing snowpack dynamics The annual snow depth (maximum snow depth) significantly declined throughout Iranian mountain ranges during 1982–2018, with an average rate of 1.0 (3.4) cm decade−1. The annual snow cover days (SCDs) also showed significant decreasing trends, ranging from 3 to 15 days decade−1 during 1982–2018, in 69% of the stations studied. Such considerable reductions in snow depth and cover days were mainly related to the compound effects of substantial increases in temperature, sunshine, and wind speed as well as decreases in precipitation and cloudiness during the SCDs across the Iranian mountain ranges. However, precipitation was the most influential climate factor controlling snow resources throughout both the Elburz and Zagros mountains in Iran.