On the timing of the next great solar activity minimum

Tlatov, A.G.; Pevtsov, A.A. (2017-05-17)
 
Avaa tiedosto
Lataukset: 

URL:
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2017.05.009

Tlatov, A.G.
Pevtsov, A.A.
Elsevier
17.05.2017

A.G. Tlatov, A.A. Pevtsov, On the timing of the next great solar activity minimum, Advances in Space Research, Volume 60, Issue 5, 2017, Pages 1108-1114, ISSN 0273-1177, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2017.05.009

https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
© 2017. This manuscript version is made available under the CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 license http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/.
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2017.05.009
Näytä kaikki kuvailutiedot
Julkaisun pysyvä osoite on
https://urn.fi/URN:NBN:fi-fe2019100331143
Tiivistelmä

Abstract

The long-term variations in solar activity are studied using the dataset comprised of sunspot number and 14C radioisotope timeseries. We use a novel S200 index to identify possible past Grand Minima (GM). The Maunder, Oort, Wolf and Spörer Minima fall in phase with the minimum of S200 index. We also show GM develop in clusters, with a separation of about 400–600 years between individual GM. Extending these found similarities to modern solar activity, it is predicted that next grand solar minimum may occur in about ~ 2090 ± 20.

Kokoelmat
https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Ellei muuten mainita, aineiston lisenssi on https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/